Loyalty Movement Report: Airlines

Airlines: Unpacking the State of Customer Loyalty

Introduction

In our previous report, Redefining Customer Loyalty, Cardlytics defined loyalty as a consumer’s preference for a merchant over its competitors. We analyzed $160B in spending across six industries to measure customer loyalty and spending patterns with both loyal and non-loyal customers.

But customer behavior isn’t fixed—customers shift between loyalty segments over time. Understanding these shifts helps identify churn and informs strategies to nurture relationships and move customers to higher loyalty segments. In our Loyalty Movement Report, we dive into the Airline category to better understand engagement over time by the entire more than $58B in consumer spend behavior.*

Airline Category Loyal Customers

On average, 39% of a merchant’s customers are not loyal. Yet the loyal segment shows extreme loyalty when it comes to share of wallet (95%) where as a not loyal segment does not (28%).

Top Customers (top 10% of most frequent transactors) are heavily loyal - 2/3. And that loyal customer segment shows the same extreme loyalty in terms of share of wallet as all customers.

Findings

We looked into purchase data at all Airlines in the US over the last 8 quarters (Q1-23 through Q4-24) on a quarter by quarter basis to see whether even the “most loyal” customers showed changes in their purchase behavior. 

Airline Loyalty Movement

Overall, quarter over quarter, customers tend to stay in their same segment (36%) while there is an equal amount that increase/decrease loyalty (7%) and are either new or lapsed (22% and 26%, respectively). However, when digging into the individual segments, the opportunity becomes more clear among segments that are categorized as non-loyal. 

Segment Movement

Of the ⅔ of each customer segment that is non-lapsed, those that are loyal to a specific airline tend to stay loyal (57%). However, those categorized as “non-loyal” (Tied/Prefer) show significant willingness to to shop around (43% and 46%, respectively).  

Airline Leaky Bucket

Airlines are acquiring new customers yet even more existing customers are moving into the lapsed tier. This cycle is expected based on typical consumer behavior for airline travel quarter over quarter but reinforces need to nurture existing relationships .

Diving deeper into the individual segments tells us:

• Loyal customers typically do not switch airlines, which is most likely due to airlines robust loyalty programs and incentives. However, customers that are Tied or Prefer have a high propensity for behavior change and show an opportunity for targeted campaigns to influence their behavior.
• Lapsed customers are similar across all segments, which is reflective of typical airline purchasing behavior - regardless of their loyalty categorization.

Definitions of Customer Segments

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Loyal Customers
Loyal: Only shop with a specific brand, or have the highest share of wallet with a given brand and relative rank is lower than all other brands in consideration set

Not Loyal Customers
Tied: Similar relative ranks to 2 or more brands regardless of share of wallet ranking
‍Prefer: Lower share of wallet and higher rank than other brands in their consideration set
‍Lapsed: Shopped historically but do not shop currently, as defined by the analysis time period
‍New: Shop currently but have not shopped historically, as defined by the analysis time period

Takeaways

Airline marketers’ inherent focus on nurturing loyal customers is well-know and consumer spend data show it’s working - Loyal customers tend to stay loyal. But huge opportunity exists with customers who are not loyal to any specific airline and could be lured through greater incentives. To stay top of mind, marketers must continuously nurture relationships, understand customer needs, and offer seamless experiences. To foster loyalty with your customers, consider these recommendations:

• Use an “always on” strategy to keep customers engaged, regardless of purchase frequency.
• Regularly update/refine customer segments and adjust reward offers to keep them engaged.
• Use targeted campaigns to boost loyalty and revenue.

Cardlytics can deliver a comprehensive Customer Loyalty Analysis with insights into customer behavior and movement across defined loyalty segments. Contact us for more details.

* For this report, we've selected the entire Airlines category in our data, collectively representing$58bn in annual card spend. This sample differs from the previous Customer Loyalty Analysis report.
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About Cardlytics‍

Cardlytics (NASDAQ: CDLX) is a commerce media platform, powered by our publishers’ first-party purchase data, that makes commerce smarter and more rewarding for everyone. We offer a range of solutions to help advertisers and publishers, including financial institutions, grow and strengthen customer loyalty. With visibility into approximately half of all card-based transactions in the U.S. and a quarter in the U.K., Cardlytics enables advertisers to engage consumers at scale and drive incremental sales through our industry-leading financial media network. Publisher partners can enhance their platforms with relevant and personalized offers that improve the shopping experience for their customers. Cardlytics also offers identity resolution capabilities through Bridg, which helps convert anonymous shoppers into known and reachable customers. Headquartered in Atlanta, Cardlytics has offices in Menlo Park, Los Angeles, Champaign, New York and London. Learn more at www.cardlytics.com or follow us on LinkedIn.